Gold Switzerland by Matterhorn Asset Management, Released on 1/15/24

In this first discussion of a longer series focusing on key risk themes nearing a 2024 breaking point, Matterhorn Asset Manager principals, Egon von Greyerz and Matthew Piepenburg, open with a blunt discussion on the critical (as well as controversial) topics of geopolitics, escalating war signals and the key differences between gold and BTC in a global setting of open currency destruction.

Beginning with the topic of war, Egon and Matthew discuss a daisy chain of expensive and ultimately unsuccessful wars with DC origins but global ramifications. Of course, the rising tensions within the middle east form a part of this narrative, one which includes an ongoing (and still unresolved) war in the Ukraine and now headlines of further NATO expansion into Sweden and Finland.

Neither Egon nor Matthew offers easy solutions or predictions for such volatile issues. However, what can be easily foreseen is the simple and historically-confirmed relationship between escalating wars and hence escalating costs, debt levels and hence currency debasement to monetize the same. This relationship between war, inflation, and currency destruction, which even Hemingway foresaw, is anything but fictional and points yet again to the absolute necessity of protecting against such currency risk with real money, namely: Physical gold.

Of course, many crypto investors see BTC as an equally convincing form of “digital gold” to one day emerge as a viable store of value to protect against similar risks. Neither Egon nor Matthew ridicule crypto as an asset nor the investors who trade them. One can be a tenacious proponent of physical gold without having to cast dispersions at BTC, which has been a superlative speculation trade (and risk) for countless investors.

That, however, is precisely how both Egon and Matthew distinguish gold from BTC: With Gold being an undeniably (and historically-confirmed) store of value and hence wealth preservation asset; and BTC being an equally undeniable speculation asset. Egon and Matt track the price moves, for example, in BTC and compare its volatility to gold to make this conclusion objective rather than sensational. Matt, moreover, defends BTC against recent headlines, like SBF’s corruption or Binance’s multi-billion-dollar legal judgements, which are not blockchain failures but human failures. Toward that end, Matt addresses the equally “human” risks which Larry Fink’s Blackrock poses to the BTC narrative.

Although cryptos like BTC have adopted the same narrative as gold to highlight the themes of being an alternative currency outside of an openly failing global banking and fiat monetary system, the more popular (and frankly, actual) use/role of BTC has been as an astonishing speculation asset. The fact, moreover, that numerous crypto millionaires have approached Matterhorn to convert their speculative BTC into wealth-preserving gold adds anecdotal evidence to this conviction. The additional fact that central banks are stacking gold rather than BTC at historical levels suggests that when serious concerns over currency stability are the key drivers, gold is the obvious choice.

Of course, speculation and preservation are each important aspects of wealth, but Egon and Matt remind that gold preserves generational wealth with far greater effect and far less risk.

In the coming weeks, Egon and Matt will address other key risk themes (oil, currencies, BRICs etc.) as we enter a very important 2024.

Egon von Greyerz is founder and Managing Partner of Matterhorn Asset Management AG & GoldSwitzerland. Since the 1990s Egon von Greyerz has been actively involved with financial investment activities including mergers and acquisitions and asset allocation consultancy for private family funds. This led to the creation of Matterhorn Asset Management, an asset management company based on wealth preservation principles. MAM is part of the Aquila Group, Switzerland’s largest independent asset management group. Von Greyerz makes regular media appearances on CNBC, BBC, etc. and publishes articles on the world economy and wealth preservation.

Matthew Piepenburg began his finance career as a transactional attorney before launching his first hedge fund during the NASDAQ bubble of 1999-2001. Thereafter, he began investing his own and other HNW family funds into alternative investment vehicles while operating as a General Counsel, CIO and later Managing Director of a single and multi-family office. Matthew worked closely as well with Morgan Stanley’s hedge fund platform in building a multi-strat/multi-manager fund to better manage risk in a market backdrop of extreme central bank intervention/support. The conviction that precious metals provides the best protection against potential systemic risk led Matt to join Matterhorn Asset Management.