The Julia La Roche Show, Released on 7/25/23

Macro researcher Jim Bianco, the president of Bianco Research, joins Julia La Roche again for a wide-ranging conversation on the macroeconomic environment. In this episode, Bianco shares why he thinks we’ve seen a bottoming in inflation and that it will start to creep back up. He also explained why he doesn’t see the Fed pivoting because the inflation rate is likely to be problematic. Elsewhere, Bianco explains why he’s not necessarily in the recession camp.

0:00 Intro
1:00 Macro view
4:20 That’s not “TINA”
6:35 Unusual market performance this year
10:29 Thoughts on passive investing
14:00 On AI: Overhype the short-term, underestimate the long-term
18:00 Impact of AI on finance
25:05 Might not be in the recession camp
29:40 Did something already break?
32:34 Sticky inflation
36:00 Labor market is very different from what anyone thinks it is right now
43:00 Impact on cities, commercial real estate, public transportation
51:33 Regional bank risk
55:15 Energy
1:01:00 Parting thoughts

Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Prior to joining Arbor and Bianco Research, Jim was a Market Strategist in equity and fixed income research at UBS Securities and Equity Technical Analyst at First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).

  economy, inflation, investing, Jim Bianco, markets, recession, stock market