Inflation Just Got Lower, What’s Next? Economist Steve Hanke’s 2023 Forecast

The David Lin Report, Released on 4/12/23

March CPI data was released on Wednesday, April 12, and inflation in the U.S. has declined to 5%. Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics explains why inflation has been coming down and will continue to edge lower.

0:00 – Intro
1:05 – Why did inflation come down?
6:45 – Quantity Theory of Money
10:45 – Interest expenses and inflation
12:23 – Excess money and inflation
14:10 – Fed Balance sheet and inflation
19:30 – Fed pivot and labor market
21:55 – Recession outlook
22:40 – Gold
26:25 – Dedollarization trends
33:40 – Hyperinflation

Steve Hanke is an American applied economist at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland. He is also a senior fellow and director of the Troubled Currencies Project at the libertarian Cato Institute in Washington, DC, and co-director of the Johns Hopkins University’s Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise in Baltimore, Maryland. Hanke is known for his work as a currency reformer in emerging-market countries. He was a senior economist with President Ronald Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1981 to 1982, and has served as an adviser to heads of state in countries throughout Asia, South America, Europe, and the Middle East. He is also known for his work on currency boards, dollarization, hyperinflation, water pricing and demand, benefit-cost analysis, privatization, and other topics in applied economics. Hanke has written extensively as a columnist for Forbes magazine and other publications. He is also a currency and commodity trader.

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Igby MacDavitt

Aren’t we lucky — on the cusp of World War III, possibly on two or three fronts; millions dying, permanently injured and out of work; currency being produced for banks and military contractors; ‘unexplained biological accidents recurring over and over; an insane WOKE ideology being rammed down our throats; wages not keeping up with inflationary numbers (however you calculate it); and a corrupt and captured political cast.

But hey, all that matters is the “money supply”, according to the Professor from the Johns Hopkins modelling prognosticators.

In reality, it is all about the people’s confidence in the dollar, and that is falling like a dead man out of an airplane with no end in sight.

Like the Professor, academics deal in ideas. They risk nothing when they’re wrong, and take the accolades whenever they can. Too bad living in the real world isn’t a theory.