The Daily Gold, Released on 2/18/23
In this lengthy discussion we analyze the conflicting signals of breadth thrusts for the stock market but inverted yield curves arguing for recession later this year. Meanwhile, Vince evaluates the potential for a soft landing and a hard landing. The conclusion is you can only kill inflation with a hard landing. Otherwise, expect inflation to rebound and eventually reaccelerate.
Conflicting Signals 2:30
Soft Landing vs. Hard Landing Scenarios 16:27
Why No Pivot or Hard Landing Yet 43:00
How Fed Declares Victory 50:40
Vince Lanci is Managing Partner at Echobay Partners LLC. Vince founded Echobay after a profitable career running CiS Options and Berard Capital. The firm is a vehicle for expressing his and “friends and family” personal investment ideas. Echobay also consults on market structure, risk management, and legal cases involving fraud in markets. Vince is also a regular contribute to ZeroHedge.com
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association.. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premium, a publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection for the sophisticated investor, as well as TheDailyGold Global, an add-on service for subscribers which covers global capital markets.