Liberty and Finance, Released on 10/9/25
Silver briefly broke above $51 to new all-time highs before falling back under $49, which David Morgan said was a predictable pullback as exchanges hiked margin requirements and professional traders took profits. Michael Oliver argued that this volatility is “idiot selling,” noting that silver is on the verge of a “quantum leap to a new reality” between $100 and $200 per ounce within six months once its spread versus gold triggers a breakout. Craig Hemke highlighted unprecedented backwardation—spot silver trading more than $2 above futures—suggesting a serious physical shortage in London, unseen in 2011, and compared today’s reversal to gold’s breakout pattern from late 2023 before its 80 % surge. Morgan shared data showing a persistent structural deficit where industrial demand already exceeds combined mining + recycling supply, calling it a “natural corner” that will tighten further as investment demand rises. All three agreed that silver and gold are entering a new monetary paradigm, driven by inflation, dollar debasement, and coming Fed policy shifts toward rate cuts and yield-curve control—conditions they believe will send precious metals far higher.
0:00 Intro
1:23 Silver breaks $50
14:00 Supply/Demand
26:30 Last thoughts
30:10 Weekly specials
David Morgan is a world-renown precious metals aficionado. He is the creator of TheMorganReport.com, a monthly report that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems and the key reasons for investing in precious metals. A dynamic, much-in-demand speaker all over the globe, David’s educational mission also makes him a prolific author, having penned Get the Skinny on Silver Investing, The Silver Manifesto
and, most recently, Second Chance: How to Make and Keep Big Money from the Coming Gold and Silver Shock.
J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. His website is Olivermsa.com. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.
Known primarily by his nickname “Turd Ferguson,” Craig Hemke is the founder and editor of the popular TF Metals Report blog and podcast, covering precious metals, the financial markets, and greater economic trends.