Michael Oliver: Why Momentum Says This Market Is in Trouble

Wealthion, Released on 2/11/25

James Connor welcomes Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, to explain why his momentum models are flashing major warning signals that most investors are ignoring. Unlike traditional price charts, momentum signals structural weakness before price reacts—and right now, the NASDAQ, S&P 500, and other key markets are showing the same patterns seen before past bear markets.

1:11 – Michael Oliver’s Unique Momentum Strategy
3:38 – Is the S&P Breaking Down First?
5:04 – Market Volatility: AI, Yen Carry, & Tech Stocks
7:17 – How Early Does Momentum Warn of a Crash?
9:04 – A 15-Year Bull Market on the Edge
12:08 – Echoes of 2000: Are We Heading for a 50% Drop?
14:04 – Nvidia: The New Cisco?
16:21 – Crypto, Meme Stocks, & the AI Frenzy
18:30 – When Will the Market Finally Crack?
19:27 – The Catalyst? You Won’t See It Coming
21:37 – Trump, the Fed, and the Inevitable Bubble Burst
23:10 – Debt Levels: A Ticking Time Bomb?
25:02 – Positioning for the Collapse: Where to Be
28:23 – Commodities Set to Explode
30:28 – Gold’s $8,000 Path: A Historical Perspective
36:58 – If the Market Crashes, Where Will Gold & Silver Go?
40:20 – Silver’s Long-Awaited Breakout?
43:30 – Gold Miners: The Ultimate Underdog Play
46:14 – Silver Production, Demand, and China’s Role
48:37 – The Best Way to Invest in Precious Metals Now
51:15 – Final Thoughts: A Major Shift is Coming

J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. His website is Olivermsa.com. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

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