Liberty and Finance, Released on 9/1/25
Michael Oliver argues that silver is deeply undervalued and has just broken out above $40 per ounce today – its highest level since 2011 – marking a powerful momentum surge poised to drive prices far beyond the nominal $50 high, potentially toward $60-$70 or more. He emphasizes the breadth of the breakout, noting that while many focus on price, momentum is the leading indicator and suggests silver is primed to decisively outperform. Oliver links this surge to a broader systemic crisis in faith in fiat currencies, arguing that in an environment where central bank policies no longer work, monetary metals like silver can reclaim their role as real money. He warns that such a crisis could become so severe that institutions like the Federal Reserve may not survive the collapse in confidence. In this view, the current silver rally is not just speculative—it symbolizes a paradigm shift toward monetary metal-backed systems amid eroding trust in traditional central banking.
0:00 Intro
1:30 Silver breaks $40
8:32 Gold breakout
13:40 Crisis of confidence
26:20 Year-end forecast
29:00 Momentum Structural Analysis
30:10 Weekly specials
J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. His website is Olivermsa.com. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.