WealthTrack, Released on 5/19/23
David Rosenberg, a well-known economist, believes that the United States is in a recessionary bear market. He predicts that the S&P 500 will eventually bottom at 3100, and he has positioned his personal portfolio accordingly. Rosenberg’s predictions are based on his analysis of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle, which he believes will lead to a recession. He also points to the recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic as evidence that the economy is weakening. Rosenberg’s views are in contrast to those of many other economists, who believe that the Federal Reserve can engineer a soft landing. However, Rosenberg’s track record suggests that he is worth listening to. In 2007, he predicted the subprime mortgage crisis, which turned into the Global Financial Crisis. Investors who are concerned about the economy should pay attention to Rosenberg’s predictions. They may want to consider reducing their equity exposure and increasing their cash holdings. Recessions & financial crises go hand in hand after Federal Reserve tightening cycles. Outspoken economist Dave Rosenberg sees evidence of both and advises defensive investments.
David Rosenberg is the chief economist & strategist of Rosenberg Research & Associates, an economic consulting firm he established in January 2020. He received both a Bachelor of Arts and Masters of Arts degree in economics from the University of Toronto. Prior to starting his firm, he was Gluskin Sheff’s chief economist & strategist. Mr. Rosenberg was also chief North American economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New York and prior thereto, he was a senior economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns and Bank of Nova Scotia. Mr. Rosenberg previously ranked first in economics in the Brendan Wood International Survey for Canada for seven straight years, was on the US Institutional Investor All American All Star Team for four years, and was ranked second overall in the 2008 survey.