Sprott Money, Released on 8/15/25

Is the U.S. already in a recession? Former Federal Reserve insider Danielle DiMartino Booth says net job destruction began in Q2 2024, meaning the economy has been contracting for over a year despite what the Fed is telling you. In this Ask the Expert episode, Danielle joins Craig Hemke to reveal the truth about the labor market, the 24 downward payroll revisions in the last 30 months, and the real headcount data that points to ongoing economic weakness. She discusses the political pressure on Jerome Powell, the growing calls for a 50 basis point rate cut in September 2025, and why dissent at the FOMC is at historic highs. Danielle also warns about the dangers of increased Fed–Treasury cooperation, the risk of hyperinflation, potential threats to the U.S. dollar, and the possibility of market turmoil if retirees are forced to liquidate stocks. Most importantly for investors, she shares why these conditions are bullish for gold in a time of economic and political uncertainty.

00:00 – Where is the economy?
05:14 – Fed ignoring real data
06:46 – Rate cuts or hold steady?
08:26 – Mutiny within the Fed?
10:19 – Fed and Treasury merge talk
13:09 – Fed independence concerns
14:55 – Possibility of yield curve control
17:59 – Danielle’s 12-month outlook

Danielle DiMartino Booth is Founder & CEO of QI Research, a research and analytics firm. She spent nine years as an advisor to Richard W. Fisher at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. Danielle left the Fed in 2015 to found Money Strong, LLC, an economic consulting firm and launched a weekly economic newsletter She is the author of Fed Up: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette and Credit Suisse, where she worked fixed income and the public and private equity markets. Danielle earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio. She holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University.

Known primarily by his nickname “Turd Ferguson,” Craig Hemke is the founder and editor of the popular TF Metals Report blog and podcast, covering precious metals, the financial markets, and greater economic trends.

  Craig Hemke, economy, gold, markets, recession, silver