ITM Trading, Released on 2/7/24
Daniela Cambone speaks with Jim Bianco, founder and president of Bianco Research, to discuss the recent rise in Treasury yields, its impact on the economy, the state of the banking system, and the real estate market. Bianco explains that the rise in Treasury yields indicates a rejection of previous lows, setting up a base for higher yields. “It means that the economy is doing OK,” he continues. However, he points out that inflation becomes a concern as the Fed may not cut rates until the summer. Additionally, Bianco states that systematic risk within the U.S. banking sector cannot be ruled out, as many smaller banks engaged in commercial real estate lending have been negatively impacted by the discounted value of office buildings. “What is an office worth today when people only go there three days a week? And the answer is we don’t quite know, but we do know it’s not what it was worth in 2019.” He also explains the reasons behind the current real estate recession and suggests strategies for protecting wealth in this uncertain environment. Watch the video to learn more about his insights.
0:00 10-year yield and the Fed
4:33 Wall Street and the Fed rate cuts
7:01 Wealth disparity
10:10 U.S. equities outlook
14:46 Election year
17:25 U.S. banking system
22:03 Real estate recession
30:09 Owning physical gold
Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Prior to joining Arbor and Bianco Research, Jim was a Market Strategist in equity and fixed income research at UBS Securities and Equity Technical Analyst at First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).