Are We on the Brink? Michael Oliver’s Market Indicators

Natural Resource Stocks, Released on 12/20/24

In this episode, Michael Oliver and Andy discuss the alarming differences between momentum charts and price charts in the stock market, drawing parallels to historic crashes in 1929 and 1987. They explore the long-term bull market fueled by free money policies, the potential for a major market downturn, and how assets like gold and commodities might behave in such scenarios. Michael provides insights into the structural analyses of momentum and the implications for investment strategies. They also touch upon the broader impacts on global markets and the potential for a shift in asset allocation towards commodities and gold equities.

00:00 Introduction and Market Momentum
00:26 Interview with Michael Oliver
00:53 Comparing Current Market to Historical Crashes
02:03 Impact of Federal Reserve Policies
03:04 Potential Market Collapse and Investor Behavior
10:25 Gold and Commodities as Safe Havens
20:16 Gold Equities and Future Predictions
24:25 Conclusion and Contact Information

J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. His website is Olivermsa.com. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

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