The Daily Gold, Released on 8/29/22

The stock market continues to follow the template of 6 cyclical bear markets within 3 secular bears. The market recently failed at the 200-day moving average. That was the second major sell signal for past bear markets. The bulls are hoping the market follows a similar pattern to 1962. Then the market rallied after a 28% drop but then quickly retested the bottom, and successfully. Even from the 1962 peak to 1968 peak the S&P 500 only gained 50%. The end of the secular bull in the 1960s was much different than the end of the 1920s and 1990s. At this point, the 8 month decline in the stock market looks more like those 6 bad cyclical bear markets than like 1962.

Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT is a Chartered Market Technician and member of the Market Technicians Association.. He is the publisher and editor of TheDailyGold Premium, a publication which emphasizes market timing and stock selection for the sophisticated investor, as well as TheDailyGold Global, an add-on service for subscribers which covers global capital markets.

  bear market, Jordan Roy-Byrne, stock market