Michael Pento: Stocks & Home Prices To Fall 40-50% As Liquidity Dries Up?

Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money, Released on 3/4/25

When today’s guest was last on this program back in December, he warned that after blockbuster double-digit returns in 2023 and 2024, stocks were likely to have a tougher time this year. Well, so far, with the S&P slightly down YTD for 2025, that prediction is proving prescient. So, where does he see the market headed from here? To find out, we’re fortunate today to talk with money manager Michael Pento. president of Pento Portfolio Strategies. He maintains a 20-point model that guides his portfolio allocation, and today we’ll hear what it’s advising him to do right now. Spoiler alert: it is telling him we are at a dangerously high risk of a major downwards correction in both stock & home prices.

Michael Pento is a specialist in Austrian economics and is the President of Pento Portfolio Strategies. Prior to starting Pento Portfolio Strategies he served as a senior economist and VP of the managed products division of another well known financial firm. Michael has also created ETFs and UITs that were sold throughout Wall Street. Earlier in his career, he worked on the floor of the NYSE. He is the author of The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the U.S. Debt Market.

Adam Taggart is the Founder of  Thoughtful Money. He is also Co-Founder and former President of Peak Prosperity. Adam is an experienced Silicon Valley internet executive and Stanford MBA. Prior to partnering with Chris Martenson (Adam was General Manager of our earlier site, ChrisMartenson.com), he was a Vice President at Yahoo!, a company he served for nine years. Before that, he did the ‘startup thing’ (mySimon.com, sold to CNET in 2001). As a fresh-faced graduate from Brown University in the early 1990s, Adam got a first-hand look at all that was broken with Wall Street as an investment banking analyst for Merrill Lynch. Most importantly, he’s a devoted husband and dad.

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