Eurodollar University, Released on 9/9/24 Interest rates continue to collapse in China even outpacing US Treasuries. Commodities are being crushed as prospects for the world’s two largest economies are getting worse by the week; by the day. Over the weekend, the Chinese reported negatives in consumer and more so producer prices, adding more evidence to […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 9/7/24 More meltdowns across key markets, starting with the Treasury curve rapidly unwinding. Commodities are getting crushed, gasoline absolutely smoked. Swaps. Yen. The August payroll report only further confirmed the reasons why all this is happening. Jeff Snider is head of global investment research for Alhambra Investment Partners, a registered investment […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 9/4/24 Carry trade is back! In reality, it never left. Not because of BoJ rates hikes or threats, rather all the growing evidence the US isn’t at risk of recession, so many indications showing it’s here. Oil and gasoline are crashing. Curves unwinding. Forward rates project…a total mess. In time for […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 8/31/24 New information from various sources all around the US service sector shows a downturn taking hold in that segment with employment signals turning more and more negative. It confirms the ongoing and more decisive bull steepening continuing to take shape in the Treasury market. Even mainstream sources are having to […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 8/20/24 Jeff Snider is head of global investment research for Alhambra Investment Partners, a registered investment advisory based in Palmetto Bay, Florida. As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base. Jeff is published nationally at […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 8/18/24 Revisions are a normal part of high frequency data. Constant, near-exclusive downward revisions are not. Rewrites should be more evenly distributed which means these stats are overstating the economy. Plus, the problem is spreading hitting retail sales and IP as well as payrolls. While everyone went nuts over retail sales, […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 8/3/24 With the questions of “what” and “when” now mainly answered, we can finally focus on “how bad.” To start putting together some answers, we’ll use three different markets and sets of indications each examine a separate aspect of the recession proposition; short run, intermediate, and the long term. Jeff Snider […]
Eurodollar University, Released on 8/1/24 A whole bunch of bad data, much of it focused on deterioration in the US labor market (pre-July payrolls). That unleashed huge swings in rates markets and forward rates. One reason for all this is the historical pattern is perfectly clear. What we’re seeing right now happens EVERY TIME. No […]
