Steve Hanke: Math All But Guarantees Recession By 2025

Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money, Released on 7/25/24

When today’s expert was last on this program back in March, he predicted we’ll see sub-2% inflation AND a recession by the end of this year. Since then, headline CPI has remained stubbornly “sticky” above 3% So, is 2% (or less) inflation by December still his forecast? Or have conditions changed? To find out, we have the good fortune to sit down and get a full update today from Steve Hanke, professor of applied economics at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland.

0:00-15:25 Steve’s Latest Inflation Prediction
15:26-32:44 Is DEFLATION The Bigger Threat
32:45-40:44 Buy Long-Dated Treasuries?
40:45- 55:48 Steve’s Favored Assets
55:49-1:00:26 Steve’s Big Life Lessons
1:00:27 New Harbor Market Recap

Steve Hanke is an American applied economist at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland. He is also a senior fellow and director of the Troubled Currencies Project at the libertarian Cato Institute in Washington, DC, and co-director of the Johns Hopkins University’s Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise in Baltimore, Maryland. Hanke is known for his work as a currency reformer in emerging-market countries. He was a senior economist with President Ronald Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1981 to 1982, and has served as an adviser to heads of state in countries throughout Asia, South America, Europe, and the Middle East. He is also known for his work on currency boards, dollarization, hyperinflation, water pricing and demand, benefit-cost analysis, privatization, and other topics in applied economics. Hanke has written extensively as a columnist for Forbes magazine and other publications. He is also a currency and commodity trader.

Adam Taggart is the Founder of  Thoughtful Money. He is also Co-Founder and former President of Peak Prosperity. Adam is an experienced Silicon Valley internet executive and Stanford MBA. Prior to partnering with Chris Martenson (Adam was General Manager of our earlier site, ChrisMartenson.com), he was a Vice President at Yahoo!, a company he served for nine years. Before that, he did the ‘startup thing’ (mySimon.com, sold to CNET in 2001). As a fresh-faced graduate from Brown University in the early 1990s, Adam got a first-hand look at all that was broken with Wall Street as an investment banking analyst for Merrill Lynch. Most importantly, he’s a devoted husband and dad.

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