Triangle Investor, Released on 4/30/25 (Recorded on 4/29/25)

In this conversation, Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis, discusses the current state of the financial markets, focusing on momentum analysis of major indices like the S&P and NASDAQ. He highlights the historical context of market bubbles and the potential pain that could follow. The discussion shifts to gold and silver, analysing their trends and potential breakouts. Oliver also touches on commodity markets, currency performance, and the implications of a financial reset on safe haven assets, concluding with concerns about the commercial real estate market.

0:00 Intro
1:05 Big indices, what are they signaling
4:51 How big pain to expect
7:48 Gold – pullback, breather, what is next
11:48 Silver, double top, what is next
14:32 Key spreads in gold vs silver
18:43 How cheap are the commodities, Bloomberg index
23:07 Cocoa and coffee
24:01 Us dollar, Canadian dollar and Euro
26:40 Safe haven currencies
30:12 Commercial real-estate market

J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s Mike began to develop his own momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992 the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical research. His website is Olivermsa.com. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

  gold, investing, michael oliver, silver, stocks