Blockworks Macro, Released on 7/13/22

On today’s episode of “On the Margin”, Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy joins the show. Lyn begins by explaining through the energy shock she spotted in 2021 walking through her most recent piece “Energy: The Area Under the Curve”. Lyn then shares her outlook on the U.S Dollar wrecking ball as the DXY breaches 20 year highs trading over 108. How will a rising U.S Dollar effect the chances of a recession, stress in credit markets and more importantly the U.S treasury market liquidity? Could this be “checkmate” for the Fed?

00:00 Introduction
00:51 Energy: The Area Under the Curve
04:50 Energy Crisis In Europe
07:58 Are Rising Energy Prices Leading To A Recession?
14:09 Should We Expect An Earnings Recession?
16:53 Signs Of Stress In The Treasury Market
20:36 Fireblocks Ad
21:55 Can The Fed Really Tighten?
28:14 How A U.S Dollar Spike Could Lead To Treasury Market Illiquidity
34:08 Universal Basic Income
41:52 The Decade Ahead

Lyn Alden is the founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Lyn has a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering and a master’s degree in engineering management, with a focus on engineering economics and financial modeling. She worked as an electrical engineer at an aviation facility, and over the course of a decade worked her way up from being an intern to being the lead engineer and running the day-to-day operations and finances of the facility, before retiring early at age 33 with financial independence. Since then, Lyn has been a full-time investor and independent analyst.

  commodities, economy, energy, inflation, lyn alden, us dollar