Bianco Research, Released on 1/2/24
Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist for Bianco Research, LLC. In this interview – recorded from the floor of our MoneyShow Investment Masters Symposium Sarasota – he outlines the good news…the better news…and the “not so good” news about higher interest rates. The long-time financial markets and policy expert explains that investors, governments, companies, borrowers, and retirees will all see different impacts from this new “normal” environment. In his view, it’s not a “doom and gloom” world – even as there will be some clear winners and losers from a return to 2% “real” rates and 5%-6% nominal ones. Jim goes on to discuss the other ways the economic backdrop has changed, including the newfound power labor has relative to company managements. He then pivots to the market and investment implications of these long-term, big-picture shifts. Among them: The “Index Era” will gradually fade, while active management and quality stock picking will prove increasingly rewarding. Stated another way, the markets might generate “milquetoast” returns. But investors willing to put in the work and identify key winners in sectors like technology or energy could generate much stronger ones.
Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, L.L.C. Since 1990 Jim’s commentaries have offered a unique perspective on the global economy and financial markets. Unencumbered by the biases of traditional Wall Street research, Jim has built a decades long reputation for objective, incisive commentary that challenges consensus thinking. In nearly 20 years at Bianco Research, Jim’s wide ranging commentaries have addressed monetary policy, the intersection of markets and politics, the role of government in the economy, fund flows and positioning in financial markets. Prior to joining Arbor and Bianco Research, Jim was a Market Strategist in equity and fixed income research at UBS Securities and Equity Technical Analyst at First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers. He is a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and a member of the Market Technicians Association (MTA). Jim has a Bachelor of Science degree in Finance from Marquette University (1984) and an MBA from Fordham University (1989).