Bill Fleckenstein: The Bond Market Is Losing Confidence In The Fed

Adam Taggart | Thoughtful Money, Released on 10/8/24

2024 has been a good year for the bulls. And with the world’s largest economies now back into easing mode, both monetarily and fiscally, does that mean 2025 will be another winning year for the longs? To help us find out, as investors have a lot riding on the answer, we have the good fortune of speaking with investor and analyst Bill Fleckenstein of Fleckenstein Capital. Bill is watching bond yields very closely now, as he suspects they are starting to revolt against the Fed’s rate new rate cutting plans. He’s been waiting for years for the moment when bond investors lose confidence in central planners’ ability to tame inflation as well as reign in deficit spending. Bill thinks we might have just reached that point.

00:00 Economic Outlook
3:38 Impact Of Global Easing By Central Banks
8:24 Bond Market Starting To Revolt?
12:58 Inflation Outlook
18:50 Impact Of Higher Bond Yields
26:15 Future Of T-Bill Trade?
29:07 Passive Capital Flows
37:25 State Of The Labor Market
41:29 Bill’s Positioning
46:55 Outlook For Precious Metals

Bill Fleckenstein is the President of Fleckenstein Capital and writes a popular column ‘Contrarian Chronicles’ for MSN Money as well as the daily Market Rap column for his website: Fleckenstein Capital. Bill has appeared at one time or another in virtually all financial media including Bloomberg, CNBC, The New York Times, MSN, Marketwatch, Barron’s and more. Bill is a highly sought after speaker, successful author of Greenspan’s Bubbles: The Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve and has been in the financial sector for over 25 years.

Adam Taggart is the Founder of  Thoughtful Money. He is also Co-Founder and former President of Peak Prosperity. Adam is an experienced Silicon Valley internet executive and Stanford MBA. Prior to partnering with Chris Martenson (Adam was General Manager of our earlier site, ChrisMartenson.com), he was a Vice President at Yahoo!, a company he served for nine years. Before that, he did the ‘startup thing’ (mySimon.com, sold to CNET in 2001). As a fresh-faced graduate from Brown University in the early 1990s, Adam got a first-hand look at all that was broken with Wall Street as an investment banking analyst for Merrill Lynch. Most importantly, he’s a devoted husband and dad.

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