The David Lin Report, Released on 6/30/23
Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics, predicts that headline CPI inflation will return to 2% by year-end 2023, but a recession will hit by Q1 of 2024.
0:00 – Intro
0:45 – Labor market
3:40 – 2% inflation by year-end
6:40 – Recession by Q1 2024
8:20 – Social costs
14:40 – Inflation vs recession
22:00 – Ageing population
24:50 – Declining population
Steve Hanke is an American applied economist at the Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland. He is also a senior fellow and director of the Troubled Currencies Project at the libertarian Cato Institute in Washington, DC, and co-director of the Johns Hopkins University’s Institute for Applied Economics, Global Health, and the Study of Business Enterprise in Baltimore, Maryland. Hanke is known for his work as a currency reformer in emerging-market countries. He was a senior economist with President Ronald Reagan’s Council of Economic Advisers from 1981 to 1982, and has served as an adviser to heads of state in countries throughout Asia, South America, Europe, and the Middle East. He is also known for his work on currency boards, dollarization, hyperinflation, water pricing and demand, benefit-cost analysis, privatization, and other topics in applied economics. Hanke has written extensively as a columnist for Forbes magazine and other publications. He is also a currency and commodity trader.